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Silver Mini MCX Fut Intraday Technical Anlaysis for 9 July, 26 (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
MCX:SILVERM1! Silver Mini Futures (MCX) | Intraday Structure | July 9, 2026 Silver Mini is trading around 225,860, sliding just below the 226,331 Zero Line after a steep, high-momentum liquidation cycle that dragged prices down from the 238,000 baseline. The contract is currently attempting a weak structural stabilization attempt following the deep downside expansion flush. Price action enters the session heavily compressed underneath its central inflection point. Sellers are trying to establish persistent distribution beneath the zero block to trigger another structural breakdown leg. Wait for a high-volume 15-minute candle breakout away from this cluster before executing. Bullish Triggers Long Entry: Above 229,559 (requires sustained acceptance above the 228,326 Add Long Pos. band). Targets: 232,789 - 236,781 Risk Control: Structure weakens below 228,326. Hard exit below 226,076. Bearish Triggers Short Entry: Below 227,093 (strongly validated if the 226,331 Zero Line acts as a hard distribution ceiling). Targets: 219,873 - 215,881 Risk Control: Cover immediately above 230,576. Bias protected below 233,551. No-Trade Chop Zone: 226,076 - 229,559 Expect highly volatile, rotational price action within this wide block as commercial desks and bullion participants square off risk. Avoid chasing early morning whipsaws; let a clean 15-minute structural candle breakout provide confirmation. Execution Rule: Structure first, confirmation next. Zero anticipation. Hit Boost and drop your view in the comments if you're tracking these levels today. #SilverMini
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Why I Wait for Confluence Before Entering Every Trade (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
Every trader wants a better entry. Very few spend enough time building a better process. After more than 12 years of trading the futures markets, I've learned that the entry itself is often the least important part of the trade. The real edge comes from everything that happens before you ever click the buy or sell button. Most traders spend their time searching for the perfect indicator or setup, hoping to find something that predicts the next move. I used to think the same way. Over time, I realized that consistency wasn't built on prediction—it was built on preparation. Before risking capital, I want multiple pieces of the market telling the same story. For me, that means asking a series of questions: - What is the higher-timeframe bias? - Where are institutions most likely active? - Is price approaching a meaningful level? - Does market structure support the trade? - Is momentum aligned with my directional bias? - Does the current trading session favor this type of setup? If those answers don't align, I simply wait. One of the biggest lessons the market has taught me is that not every move deserves participation. The market offers opportunities every day, but it doesn't owe us one every hour. Patience isn't inactivity. Patience is part of the strategy. The chart in this article isn't meant to predict the future. It's simply an example of how I organize information before making a trading decision. If price confirms my thesis, I'll participate. If it doesn't, I'll wait for the next opportunity. That mindset has done more for my consistency than any single indicator ever could. This decision-making framework eventually became the foundation for FDL PRO, the TradingView indicator I developed to help traders focus on confluence instead of prediction. Over the coming weeks, I'll be sharing weekly YM market analysis, trade breakdowns, and lessons I've learned throughout my trading career. My goal isn't to tell you what to buy or sell—it's to help you think differently about the decision-making process behind every trade. About the Author I'm Joe Pena, founder of FibsDontLie. For more than 12 years, I've specialized in trading YM futures and have helped over 7,000 traders worldwide develop a structured, rule-based approach to market execution. My focus is on market structure, confluence, and disciplined decision-making rather than prediction. I'd love to hear your thoughts. What factors need to align before you enter a trade? Leave a comment below.
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Gold Mini MCX Fut Intraday Technical Anlaysis for 9 July, 26 (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
MCX:GOLDM1! Gold Mini Futures (MCX) | Intraday Structure | July 9, 2026 Gold Mini is trading around 143,412, sliding just under the 143,551 Zero Line after an intense multi-session bearish contraction cycle that pulled prices down from the 147,000 regions. The contract is attempting to carve out a localized consolidation base following the sharp liquidation flush. Price action enters the session compressed tightly around its central inflection zone. Fresh institutional direction depends entirely on a high-volume candle close away from this boundary. Wait for a clean structural breakout before deploying intraday size. Bullish Triggers Long Entry: Above 144,339 (requires sustained acceptance above the 143,950 Add Long Pos. band). Targets: 145,590 - 146,850 Risk Control: Structure weakens below 143,950. Hard exit below 143,239. Bearish Triggers Short Entry: Below 143,560 (strongly validated if the 143,551 Zero Line persistently caps recovery attempts as an active distribution ceiling). Targets: 141,512 - 140,252 Risk Control: Cover immediately above 144,660. Bias remains structurally protected below 146,455. No-Trade Chop Zone: 143,239 - 144,339 Expect highly rotational, choppy price action inside this wide decision band as macro participants and commercial desks square off exposure. Avoid chasing early spikes inside this cluster; let a clean 15-minute structural candle provide validation. Execution Rule: Structure first, confirmation next. Zero anticipation. Hit Boost and drop your view in the comments if you're tracking these levels today. #GoldMini
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Natural Gas MCX Fut Intraday Technical Analysis 9 July, 26 (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
MCX:NATURALGAS1! Natural Gas Futures (MCX) | Intraday Structure | July 9, 2026 Natural Gas is trading around 308.2, compressing closely right above the 307.80 Zero Line after a steep vertical collapse from its multi-day high near the 321 regions. The contract has erased its entire recent expansion leg, shifting the immediate structural bias back down into a stabilization test at this deep inflection base. Price is winding exceptionally tight directly on top of the primary baseline. Bears are attempting to break this floor to spark a deeper liquidation cycle, while buyers try to establish a reactive defensive bounce. Wait for a high-volume candle to break away from this cluster before executing. Bullish Triggers Long Entry: Above 315.54 (requires sustained acceptance above the 313.95 Add Long Pos. band). Targets: 316.14 - 321.30 Risk Control: Structure weakens below 313.95. Hard exit below 311.04. Bearish Triggers Short Entry: Below 312.36 (especially if structural acceptance builds continuously below the 307.80 Zero Line). Targets: 299.46 - 294.30 Risk Control: Cover immediately above 316.86. Bias protected below 320.70. No-Trade Chop Zone: 311.04 - 315.54 Expect highly volatile, rotational price action within this band as commercial participants and inventory desks square off exposure. Avoid chasing early spikes inside this block; let a clean structural candle breakout confirm true institutional intent. Execution Rule: Structure first, confirmation next. Zero anticipation. Hit Boost and drop your view in the comments if you're tracking these levels today. #NaturalGas
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Crude Oil MCX Fut Intraday Technical Analysis for 9 July, 26 (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
MCX:CRUDEOIL1! Crude Oil Futures (MCX) | Intraday Structure | July 9, 2026 Crude Oil is trading around 7,079, hovering slightly above the 7,073 Zero Line after staging a prominent upward expansion and subsequent corrective cooling off. The structural setup maintains an active bullish posture over the multi-session landscape, but price action is compressing tightly right at the central pivot. Bulls are attempting to establish persistent acceptance above this zero block to confirm the next leg of supply-side momentum. Wait for a high-volume 15-minute candle to break cleanly away from this cluster before deploying intraday size. Bullish Triggers Long Entry: Above 7,094 (strongly validated while price holds structural footing above the 7,032 Add Long Pos. band). Targets: 7,400 - 7,602 Risk Control: Structure weakens below 7,032. Hard exit below 6,918. Bearish Triggers Short Entry: Below 6,969 (especially if morning liquidity pushes crack the 7,073 inflection zone and flip it to an active distribution ceiling). Targets: 6,746 - 6,544 Risk Control: Cover immediately above 7,145. Bias remains structurally protected above 6,767. No-Trade Chop Zone: 6,918 - 7,094 Expect highly rotational, choppy price action inside this wide decision band as commercial market participants and institutional desks balance risk ahead of global macro datasets. Avoid chasing early spikes inside this cluster; wait for a clean 15-minute structural breakout. Execution Rule: Structure first, confirmation next. Zero anticipation. Hit Boost and drop your view in the comments if you're tracking these levels today. #CrudeOil
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NQ ES CL walkthrough and outlook. 08.07.2026, Wednesday (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! NYMEX:CL1! Leaning bearish on the overall HTF narrative on ES and NQ. HRLR on HTF need to trade based on daily closures and opens
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Plan for 9th July 2026 (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan. This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post. please consult your financial advisor before taking any action. ----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
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Wave (IV) May Be Preparing the Next Bullish Cycle (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
Bitcoin Futures (BTC1!) – Daily Chart Aggressive Scenario: Wave (IV) May Be Preparing the Next Bullish Cycle Based on the current market structure, the preferred wave count is derived from the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Principle. The preferred interpretation suggests that the decline from the recent high is developing as Wave (IV) of a larger degree. At this stage, the correction is most likely unfolding as a Bigger Zigzag, with the market progressing through its internal a-b-c structure before Wave (IV) reaches completion. As long as this wave count remains structurally consistent, the completion of Wave (IV) could provide the foundation for the next impulsive advance in Wave (V). Based on the current wave structure and Fibonacci relationships, the initial objective would be the First Target Range, followed by the Target Range. If Wave (V) extends, the market could eventually reach the Expanded Target, completing another major impulsive sequence. However, until Wave (IV) is confirmed as complete, every bullish objective should be viewed strictly as a structural scenario, rather than a price prediction. The ongoing corrective structure will determine whether Wave (IV) concludes as a relatively straightforward correction or evolves into a more complex pattern, such as a Multiple Zigzag or another valid corrective formation. For this reason, the primary focus remains on monitoring the internal development of Wave (IV). Only after the correction is structurally complete can the probability of the next impulsive advance in Wave (V) be evaluated with greater confidence. If the completion of Wave (IV) is confirmed, the larger bullish cycle is expected to resume. Under this scenario, Wave (V) could carry Bitcoin beyond its previous all-time high and establish a new historical high. The ultimate extent of Wave (V), however, will depend on the strength and quality of the impulsive structure emerging from the completion of Wave (IV). This analysis presents a structural interpretation based on the Elliott Wave Principle and should not be considered a price prediction. The preferred wave count will be reassessed whenever market structure no longer supports the current interpretation. — Mr. Nobody Independent Elliott Wave Principle Researcher "Patterns whisper. I listen."
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MNQ Thoughts (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
After taking the weekly swing low draw of liquidity, we tapped into a daily orderblock. My bias is neutral right now, we could react and reverse back up from here or keep going lower to potentially the monthly fvg gap. Just going to sit back and wait for the market to give a clear picture where it wants to go.
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Technical Spotlight: Keltner Channels (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
Keltner Channels are a volatility-based technical analysis indicator consisting of three bands plotted on a price chart. Created by grain trader Chester Keltner in the 1960s and later refined by legendary trader Linda Raschke, the indicator helps traders identify trends, overextended market conditions, and potential breakouts. The tool is structurally similar to Bollinger Bands, but it relies on an Average True Range (ATR) multiplier rather than a standard deviation to determine channel width. This results in smoother bands that are less prone to erratic expansion and contraction during minor price spikes. The Structural Blueprint A standard Keltner Channel setup uses three core lines: The Center Line: A 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the asset's closing price. This acts as the baseline trend and equilibrium level. The Upper Band: Positioned 2 ATRs above the Center Line. It acts as dynamic resistance. The Lower Band: Positioned 2 ATRs below the Center Line. It acts as dynamic support. How Retail Traders Can Use Keltner Channels Because the outer bands represent a statistically significant distance away from the moving average, prices typically fluctuate inside the channel. When price aggressively breaks outside the bands, it signals an institutional shift in momentum. Retail traders generally utilize Keltner Channels via three primary trading strategies: 1. The Trend-Following "Channel Ride" In a strong, trending market, price does not simply mean-revert. Instead, strong momentum will cause the price to hug or push past the outer bands. 2. The Keltner Price Compression Breakout When a market consolidates into a tight range, the Keltner Channels narrow significantly because the ATR drops. This indicates that a volatile breakout is imminent. *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
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MAURYA BANKNIFTY PREDICTION (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
MAURYA BANKNIFTY PREDICTION Thursday, 09/07/2026 BANKNIFTY 58100 CE (CALL) Entry: ₹807 – ₹863 Target: ₹1289 Stop Loss: ₹280 BANKNIFTY 56700 PE (PUT) Entry: ₹1045 – ₹1119 Target: ₹1777 Stop Loss: ₹314 ⚠️ Trade with proper risk management and strict stop loss. For Educational Purposes Only.
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ES Update (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
Looks to me like it's headed right back to oversold. Everything on my board is red except China and energy stocks. China (HSI) is overbought on my 3 hr chart, so I don't recommend going long on any Chinese stock, especially chasing BABA. It's all about Iran news, market is gonna bounce up a little every time it gets oversold
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NASDAQ is in a diamond top pattern? (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
CME_MINI:NQ1! is showing a potential diamond top pattern here, where the Profit Target would take us all the way back to Feb-March highs. It is currently finding support at the macro 0.236 fib but this week is going to be crucial for AMEX:SPY , AMEX:IWM , CRYPTOCAP:BTC , NASDAQ:SMH etc.
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Nifty (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
Nifty levels are based on volume profile 1. Gapup 24270 long 2. 24270-23800 trade breakout Sell on rise
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BLINK AND YOU MISSED IT: $1,550 IN 64 SECONDS! - NASDAQ FUTURES (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
20 minutes into market open and the week is already made. ‍ $550 in 27 seconds to officially PASS my evaluation account! Switched over and snagged another $1,000 in 37 seconds on the funded. Blink and you missed it. We eating good today!
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S&P 500 (ES) Analysis, Key Zones & Setup for Wednesday (July 8) (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
Bias: The E-mini enters Wednesday's cash session on the defensive near 7,511, down about 0.54% from Tuesday's 7,551.25 settle, after an overnight risk-off wave. A fresh geopolitical flare reignited Middle East supply worries, sending crude up more than 4%, pushing Treasury yields higher, and lifting the volatility index over 8% to the mid-17s. Add a continued semiconductor drag and the price action has turned defensive in the short term, even as the longer trend stays higher (price still holds well above its 50-, 100-, and 200-day averages). The 4-hour chart printed a change-of-character lower after topping near 7,600 on Tuesday, and momentum is rolling over, but dealer-positioning data shows a mean-reversion environment where dips are being bought and rallies sold, with 7,500 flagged as the key strike and today's upside resistance. The read is cautiously bearish but two-sided and rotational, with a heavy event in the afternoon (rate-policy minutes at 2:00 PM ET). Discipline over conviction. Resistance: 7,520 to 7,531 (40-day average, prior support turned resistance) 7,545 to 7,563 (session open, daily pivot 7,560.67, overnight high) 7,580 to 7,607 (first standard-deviation resistance, prior-week high, major positioning ceiling near 7,600) 7,632 to 7,648 (second pivot resistance, one-month high) 7,693.75 (52-week high) Support: 7,500 to 7,507 (contested pivot, major positioning strike, second standard-deviation support) 7,468 to 7,489 (second pivot support, four-week 50% retracement, overnight low 7,468.50) 7,440 to 7,448 (key dealer pivot, supportive above and fragile below) 7,400 to 7,407 (positioning support) 7,290 to 7,300 (major volume node, one-month low 7,292.25) Primary Setup: Dealer positioning marks 7,507 as the session ceiling in a rallies-sold environment, so favor fading strength on a clear rejection of the 7,507 to 7,531 band rather than waiting for the higher 7,545 to 7,560 shelf, which may not print. Targets: 7,470 first, then 7,447 as a stretch, and bank profit into those levels because dips are being bought above 7,257 and a clean slide is unlikely without a catalyst. Structural stop above 7,572. Invalidation on a sustained 15-minute close above 7,572; a clean reclaim of 7,583 flips the near-term bias higher. Treat this as a range-fade, not a trend-down trade, since real downside acceleration only opens below 7,257. Stand aside into the 2:00 PM ET minutes and let structure re-form before acting. Conditional long only on an open that reclaims and holds 7,560 with chips stabilizing, targeting 7,583 then 7,600. No entries before 9:45 ET.
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It's important to see how coffee accelerated (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
This is the 7th of December I gave a rather long video here because I cleaned up my charts and I also wanted to show where there might be trades in some of these markets but it's not ready for me to take a trade and I want you to see what that looks like.... More importantly I'm more than happy to show you this decisions that didn't work out it's not a big deal to me so I think it's important to make decisions understanding when you need to use caution but you need to make the decision that the tool you're using will help you manage the market even if you don't take the trade at this very moment.
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ES Update (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
Hit oversold during Euro hours and bounced. Probably fills the morning gap on teh daily index then goes down again. Get ready for some whipsaw, if you go long, keep an eye on the index.
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ES1! (S&P500) Daily: Diamond (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
The primary resistance level: 7,540. There is "a Diamond pattern" forming on the daily chart. A breakdown below the support line would serve as a sell signal. The main target is 7,000.
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Shock > Collapse > Redistribution > Stacked Balance (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
> Displaced VWAP > Major Reclaim Great Setup For: 1. OHM Scenario-1 2. OHM Scenario-2 Trade this sequence: Sweep > Reclaim > Hinge (compression) > Break Do your best to draw: *floor *apex compression shelf *lip compression shelf *lip *break bar 15-second bars only Apex Shelf *minimum 2 closes in micro-zone *after reclaim bar forms apex shelf = acceptance Lip Shelf *minimum 2 touches *after apex shelf forms lip shelf = defense/resistance Correct Mechanics + Correct Logic = Correct Trade
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NQ Chart Review, Smart Money Reversal Confirmed? (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
Higher Timeframe Context NQ delivered a textbook Market Maker Sell Model, transitioning from accumulation into distribution before expanding lower. - Accumulation formed before the expansion higher. - Buy-side liquidity above previous highs was engineered and swept. - NQ failed to confirm ES, creating a bearish SMT Divergence. - Smart Money Reversal formed in premium, signalling institutional distribution. - Overall order flow shifted from bullish to bearish. What Happened? Price completed a classic ICT bearish delivery. - Liquidity above the highs was taken to fuel institutional sell orders. - Bearish SMT confirmed buyers were losing momentum. - NWOG acted as resistance, preventing continuation higher. - Strong displacement created an Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG). - Price continued delivering from internal liquidity toward external Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL). - Relative Equal Lows became the next logical draw on price. This sequence reflects how market makers create liquidity first, then deliver price toward the next external liquidity pool. Current Outlook As long as price continues respecting bearish PD Arrays: - NWOG remains a key resistance. - IFVG continues supporting bearish order flow. - External Sell-Side Liquidity remains the primary objective. - Until bullish displacement reclaims premium, the bearish narrative remains intact.
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Gold Long from 4050 (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
Gold trading inside 4hr Demand Zone (4060-4040) with 4050 round number. Range is 75+ points. Looking for 50 points with 25 points of risk.
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July 15 (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
Credit where due: the timing and reversal structure here come from Martin Armstrong’s Socrates. The execution timing is my own overlay on top of it. Nothing here is financial advice. I’m sharing my own analysis and what I’d do with my own account. Futures carry real risk of loss — size accordingly and make your own decisions.
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NQ Targets (07-08-26) (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
NAZ at the edge of the Churn Zone, Worldwide FOMO is fading, next move is huge U Turn or over the Edge to Targets below. The 6-29-26 Post was tracking this well, will pick up here. Over CZ edge (29K) has two lower targets TLX 28,008 & 25,134. I would expect a try at 28K should a magical U Turn not show up. The magic usually happens in the off reg session. Should the reg sell today, that may be nasty. Diablo Chart https://www.tradingview.com/x/ob40GotW/ Worldwide FOMO https://www.tradingview.com/x/tllgjRlF/ NDX Chart https://www.tradingview.com/x/tVOCnsEw/ Expect some redirect noise/attempts should this get rolling, block the noise and follow the PA.
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Buy crude oil around 71.50, with a target of 72.90-75.00 (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
Crude Oil Market Analysis: Fundamentals directly drove crude oil to rebound to around 72.70, with a large bullish candle on the daily chart, indicating a market rebound. Currently, it's not entirely clear whether this is a rebound or a reversal. The bullish daily candle is due to fundamental factors, and the sustainability of these factors is uncertain. What is certain is that tensions in the Strait of Hormuz have escalated again, making further short-term declines in crude oil unlikely. Consider selling crude oil at 71.50 today. Fundamental Analysis: The US Central Command recently issued a statement and video announcing a new round of offensive strikes against Iran, using precision-guided munitions to hit more than 80 targets, as a "direct response to Iran's recent attacks on merchant ships sailing in the Strait of Hormuz." The Iranian military vowed a "devastating response" to the US military. Trading Recommendation: Buy crude oil around 71.50, with a target of 72.90-75.00.
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XAUUSD VWAP + Volume Profile Plan: Ultimate Advantage on Gold (Wed, 08 Jul 2026)
MICRO GOLD FUTURES (MGC1!) XAUUSD The macro narrative heading into this week is dominated by the aftermath of the recent downbeat US employment report, which showed the economy creating significantly fewer jobs than expected and drastically reshaped Federal Reserve interest rate tightening paths. While higher inflation risks from prolonged regional energy disruption had previously kept tightening pressures alive, this sharp labor cooling has provided a massive lifeline to bullion. Interestingly, general market chatter suggests a heavily divided retail consensus; online communities are leaning toward chasing the recent sharp downside momentum, completely ignoring the structural data shift and setting up a potential major liquidity hunt before the real directional extension occurs. We are seeing a clear structural transition on the 15-minute timeframe as price forms a tight consolidation channel following a sharp downward repricing . Widespread community chatter is confidently calling for further immediate markdown, which tells me late retail shorts are highly susceptible to being trapped if we print a classic Wyckoffian spring or a bullish break of structure. The market has shifted from a state of vertical discovery into a temporary short-term balance right around the psychological $4,130 zone, testing the resilience of current downside commitments. Key Zone: Price is currently trading right at the base of this Volume Profile value area low (VAL) visible near $4,127.6, a crucial Auction Market Theory inflection point where the market must choose between validating value or initiating a new discovery phase . We are currently trading at the absolute lower boundary of the immediate range, making this a pivotal make-or-break zone for the week ahead. I am watching for a run on liquidity to sweep the late sellers I'm seeing across various social forums before committing to a larger position . If price breaks convincingly below the value area low, I'll be looking to sell on a bearish break of structure and retest. Conversely, if it rejects this downside extension and breaks back above the low, I'll be looking to buy, targeting the high-volume nodes up toward the value area high near $4,185.8. My Trade Plan Bias: Neutral/Tactical. Waiting for the market to confirm acceptance or rejection outside the immediate compressed channel.Entry Protocol: Sell on a bearish Break of Structure (BoS) and retest below $4,124.9; Buy on a bullish BoS and retest above $4,136.1, utilizing intraday VWAP deviations and Volume Profile boundaries to verify structural validation.
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