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2024-11-21 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax (Thu, 21 Nov 2024)
Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax xetra - Bullish. 3 times bears tried to close below 19000 and failed. Today bears only printed a higher low and the chances for the bulls are good to get above 19260, test 19360 and then melt above to 19600+. If my thesis is correct, market will not drop much again overnight or tomorrow. Anything below 19140ish is probably invalidation for that. If bears do it again, also a decent chance that bulls give up and we finally see a bigger down move but for now I heavily favor the bulls. comment : Will get a bit whacky now but bear with me. I do think today was W1 of a 5-wave series where W3 will lead to 19450ish and the bear trend line and W5 will lead to 20k because a measured move up from my W3 is almost exactly 20k. So if that will happen, you are welcome. I think the current structure is a simply if this then that case. Market stays above 19000, we will likely break above 19200 for 19450 and so forth. If we print below 19000 again, bulls might give up and we flush down in a bigger move. One side has to give tomorrow and I heavily favor the bulls. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 18800 - 20000 bull case: Bulls closed above the first bear trend line and it was another huge reversal day. Bears tried 3 times and it’s time to give up and find more sellers at higher prices. It’s entirely possible that this market will trade between 18800 and 19300 for the next year. Always be open to many possible outcomes. Invalidation is below 18869. bear case : Bears still see the trend line as not broken enough and they are still printing lower highs and as long as that is the case, they have made money selling highs and they will continue to do so. Problem for the bears is the higher low from today and that the market closed at the highs. If they manage to get below 19000 again, their odds rise and it’s possible that more bulls give up and we see a bigger move down. Invalidation is above 19310.. short term: Bullish. Want to see 19300 and maybe 19400+ tomorrow. Everything below 19000 means I’m wrong and we either chop until world ends or flush down. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Very risky longs around 19000 with a wide stop below y low but they paid.
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Ger30 long 2025 (Thu, 21 Nov 2024)
Higher low Demand 19000Mqp ATH incoming Bearish dollar
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Ger30 long 2025 (Thu, 21 Nov 2024)
Higher low Demand 19000Mqp ATH incoming Bearish dollar
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DAX: rebounding on the 1D MA100. Buy opportunity. (Thu, 21 Nov 2024)
DAX is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.905, MACD = -31.600, ADX = 29.913) as it made a rebound near the 1D MA100 on Tuesday and has been consolidating inside the 4H MA50 - 1D MA100 range. The prevailing pattern is a Channel Down and looks the same as the May-June Channel Down which also rebounded on the 1D MA100. Until it formed a 4H Death Cross, the price stayed within the 4H MA50 - 1D MA100 range. The breakout that followed crossed over the 0.786 Fibonacci level and hit the R1 before being rejected. Consequently, we consider this a buy opportunity on the short term, aimed at the R1 level (TP = 19,550). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
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DAX / GER TODAY (Thu, 21 Nov 2024)
DAX / GER TODAY for me is still bearish Sturcture is very clear. I expect new low
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DAX / GER TODAY (Thu, 21 Nov 2024)
DAX / GER TODAY for me is still bearish Sturcture is very clear. I expect new low
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Thursday Analysis - DXY/EURUSD - 21st November (Thu, 21 Nov 2024)
Breakdown and analysis for Thursday, breakdown the Dollar momentum, EURUSD and GER30 - Looks like a bearish bias for EU today inline with Strength on the Dollar.
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Bearish drop? (Thu, 21 Nov 2024)
DE40 has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the pullback support. Pivot: 19,125.41 1st Support: 18,835.52 1st Resistance: 19,306.02 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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GER40 - Our View for the Next 5 Years ( Weekly) (Wed, 20 Nov 2024)
Hello Folks This is my personal roadmap for tracking GER40 over the next five years, revisiting it month by month to see how things evolve. Right now, I’m expecting a short-term pullback, but only for a brief period. If the market hits 20K early, it might need to take a breather before aligning with the right cycle timing. However, my focus remains clear: I’m only looking for long opportunities in the bigger picture. The larger structure is bullish, and any short-term corrections are just part of the process before the next major move upward. It’s all about timing and staying patient as the market reveals its hand. Let’s see how this plays out in the months ahead
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GER40 is in a consolidation phase (Wed, 20 Nov 2024)
A breakdown below 18850 could open the door for deeper corrections toward 18750 and potentially 18550. But a bounce from 18850, with strong momentum, could lead to further upside targets at 18900 and 19200.
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